ChannelPulse
A stock pitch that survives questions
You bring the pitch, so a weak one is a choice. This builds a pitch as a probability-weighted claim rather than a target price — three scenarios, an expected return, an upside/downside ratio, and the bear-case probability at which the whole thing stops working — then works through the part candidates skip: the variant perception, and what would make you sell.
What you'll be able to do
- State a pitch as a claim about where consensus is wrong, not as a description of a good company
- Build a three-scenario valuation and read the expected return, skew, and breakeven probability
- Name the catalyst, the time horizon, and the falsifier before being asked
- Answer the four follow-ups that decide the round — why now, what is priced in, what would change your mind, and what if you are wrong
Before this: comps-and-precedents
The rest of this lesson is in the app
You bring the pitch, so a weak one is a choice. This builds a pitch as a probability-weighted claim rather than a target price — three scenarios, an expected return, an upside/downside ratio, and the bear-case probability at which the whole thing stops working — then works through the part candidates skip: the variant perception, and what would make you sell. This walkthrough runs about 25 minutes, with runnable code you can edit and re-run as you read.
Continue in ChannelPulseThe first module of every track is free to read on the web — see what's open in Finance.